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Title A Collaborative Study of Voter Engagement in California
Post date 11/01/2018
C1 Background and Explanation of Rationale not provided
C2 What are the hypotheses to be tested?

We hypothesize that relational organizing works through its impact on social networks. For that reason, our research contains multiple research arms:

1. We will be conducting a social network survey in November 2018 to test the effect voter contact has on individuals’ networks. The dependent variables are: the size of their networks; the partisan composition of their networks; the impact of their network structures on voter engagement; and the degree of spillover among network members.
2. We are testing the network hypothesis with an experiment using the VoterCircle outreach platform in California’s Central Valley. The dependent variable is turnout. We will also look at household spillover and spillover among network members.
3. We hypothesize that voters of color require a longer conversation and deeper engagement in order to change their voting patterns. We are conducting two experiments focusing on Latino and Vietnamese voters in Santa Clara county. We will be testing the impact of a more culturally competent script, one that works to educate voters and use that education to move them to vote.
4. We hypothesize that participating as canvassers has a strong impact on canvassers’ sense of political efficacy and on the politicization of their social networks. We are conducting pre-and post-test leadership surveys to test the attitudinal impact. We will also look at network spillover. The dependent variables are change between time 1 and time 2; turnout among canvassers and network/HH members
5. We hypothesize that our partner groups’ supporters will be more responsive to their mobilization message. We will use propensity score matching after the election to test how supporter status, vote propensity, geography, and demographics affected voters’ responsiveness to outreach. Dependent variable is turnout.

C3 How will these hypotheses be tested? *

1. Experiments: VoterCircle platform (we repressed 10% of the voter file); tests looking at low propensity Latino and Vietnamese voters in Santa Clara County.
2. Social network survey administered online: targeting voters that responded to our 2016 survey and others targeted for outreach by our partner organizations in November 2018. The survey will be fielded after the November 2018 election.
3. A pre and post-test canvasser survey administered online during training and then after the election.
4. Propensity score matching after the fact to measure the impact of voter outreach.

C4 Country United States
C5 Scale (# of Units) VoterCircle included a sample of 1.5 million; the Latino & Vietnamese experiments include about 20000 voters, the social network survey about 4,000 respondents, the canvasser surveys about 100 canvassers; propensity score matching at least 500000 voters
C6 Was a power analysis conducted prior to data collection? Yes
C7 Has this research received Insitutional Review Board (IRB) or ethics committee approval? Yes
C8 IRB Number UCSD Project Number 181538S
C9 Date of IRB Approval 10/22/2018
C10 Will the intervention be implemented by the researcher or a third party? Researchers
C11 Did any of the research team receive remuneration from the implementing agency for taking part in this research? No
C12 If relevant, is there an advance agreement with the implementation group that all results can be published? No
C13 JEL Classification(s) not provided by authors